Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009466 0.010686 0.012026 0.013610 0.015435 0.017479 0.019946
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007470 0.009098 0.011046 0.013565 0.016758 0.020701 0.025984
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006147 0.007855 0.010015 0.012976 0.016975 0.022251 0.029847
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005404 0.007180 0.009529 0.012908 0.017720 0.024438 0.034728
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005066 0.006970 0.009594 0.013538 0.019434 0.028112 0.042209
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004467 0.006318 0.008951 0.013051 0.019429 0.029228 0.045942
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004012 0.005815 0.008458 0.012707 0.019560 0.030517 0.050080
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003716 0.005516 0.008225 0.012721 0.020230 0.032716 0.056041
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003588 0.005454 0.008344 0.013293 0.021865 0.036710 0.065793
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003332 0.005165 0.008073 0.013185 0.022314 0.038683 0.072093
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003149 0.004978 0.007944 0.013299 0.023157 0.041457 0.080389
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002926 0.004704 0.007646 0.013079 0.023356 0.043029 0.086470
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002797 0.004583 0.007610 0.013349 0.024550 0.046786 0.098107
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002629 0.004384 0.007421 0.013322 0.025178 0.049522 0.108092
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002397 0.004053 0.006968 0.012745 0.024626 0.049706 0.112147
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002260 0.003882 0.006789 0.012678 0.025113 0.052191 0.122282
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002226 0.003893 0.006947 0.013295 0.027121 0.058363 0.143111
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002057 0.003642 0.006587 0.012818 0.026680 0.058812 0.148849
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001920 0.003440 0.006308 0.012481 0.026511 0.059882 0.156550
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001834 0.003330 0.006199 0.012495 0.027149 0.063027 0.170932
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001813 0.003343 0.006335 0.013055 0.029147 0.069942 0.198363
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001724 0.003218 0.006180 0.012949 0.029514 0.072643 0.213287
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001663 0.003143 0.006123 0.013061 0.030438 0.077003 0.234802